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Market Analysis 08/08/2022

Economic calendar

DayEvents
Monday-
Tuesday-
WednesdayCore CPI
ThursdayJPY Bank Holiday
FridayGBP GDP m/m

*Important events only

It is a light week in the market with only a few key events to watch out for including the CPI numbers and the UK’s GDP. NFP came out with a huge positive surprise, printing 528k new jobs in July which is more than double the expected figure. It is signalling a super solid labour market, which may prompt the Fed to make a more aggressive rate hike in the next meeting. CPI data on Wednesday is going to be equally, if not more important than the job’s numbers.

Let’s look at what happened to…

Precious Metal

Gold

xauusd-h1-chart

XAUUSD H1 Chart

With a better-than-expected job number, the greenback got stronger which caused a shift drop in gold prices. Gold fell from $1788 to $1769 in the 30 minutes following the announcement which trailed our scenario 2. 

As it is now trading in a range between $1770 and $1785, we are waiting for a breakout on either side. Higher lows on the hourly chart make it seems like an upward trend is more likely. CPI is going to be the main mover for gold this week. 

Technical LevelsPrice Zone
R11785
S11770

Forex

EURUSD

eurusd-h1-chart

EURUSD H1 Chart

The fiber is in a fresh triangle formation now, with NFP pushing the pair from the upper trendline to the lower trendline as marked by the arrow. As the trading range gets narrower, it may be signaling that EURUSD is on the verge of an impulsive breakout. CPI incoming. 

There is currently no directional bias, with both moving averages tangled together. 

Technical LevelsPrice Zone
R11.0265
S11.0115

TSLA
Tesla held its annual meeting last Thursday, and here are the key highlights

  • Shareholders agreed to the proposed 3 for 1 stock split
  • Tesla’s Full Self Driving has a new update available for beta testing
  • 2- million units of production is the aim that Tesla wants to achieve by end of the year
  • A new gigafactory will be announced before the year ends. Longer term goal is to have 10-12 gigafactories
  • Cybertruck to begin production in 2023, though the price and specifications are going to differ from its initial announcement
  • Elon Musk envisions Tesla to be the most valuable company in the world when self-driving robotaxis and Optimus Humanoid Robot are being rolled out 

TSLA Daily Chart

Following the annual meeting, TSLA shares declined on Friday trading by 6.63% despite all the positive announcements made in terms of new products, vision and future outlook, and not to forget the agreed stock split which is going to take effect on August 25. 

The 200-day moving average along with the $950 proved to be tough resistance for the bulls. The next support is at $770.

CTA

Trader, Technical Analyst

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