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Market Analysis 16/5/2022

Economic Calendar

Monday- UK Monetary Policy Report Hearing 

Wednesday- Fed Chair Powell speaks, UK CPI, Canadian CPI

Saturday- Australia election


EURUSD

eurusd-weekly-chart

EURUSD Weekly Chart. Source: TradingView

If we take a step back and look at the weekly chart on EURUSD, we can see that parity is not so far away. It is currently just sitting on 1.0350 support and if it breaks, there is not much support for the Euro. If Euro continues to depreciate against the dollar at the same rate during the past 3 months, we can expect the pair to reach parity in 2 to 3 weeks' time

Metals

XAUUSD

xauusd-gold-daily-chart

XAUUSD Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

Gold has broken below the 1800 key level and it is approaching 1785 at an aggressive pace. 1785 might be the last major support before it enters a free fall area, until 1680 at the lower end of the range. The fall in gold price may be primarily due to rising interest rates, and the increased opportunity cost to hold gold instead of other higher-yielding assets.

Energies

Crude Oil

crudeoil-daily-chart

Crude Oil Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

Crude oil continued to rise and ended the previous week at almost breakeven. Trading above the $105 pivot and 50 daily moving average acting as dynamic support, it is more likely for Crude oil to rise more, with the next immediate target at $115.

Cryptocurrency

BTCUSD

bitcoin-weekly-chart

BTCUSD Weekly Chart. Source: TradingView

The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, Bitcoin, is starting the week in the red. It is currently down 5.7%, trading just below $30000. Capital is fleeing from risk assets like Bitcoin because of global uncertainties including inflationary concerns, China’s covid situation, and Ukraine Russia war just to name a few. Bitcoin is also following a similar path with a significant positive correlation to traditional stocks, losing its appeal as a means for portfolio diversification.

Stocks Markets

SP500

sp500-daily-chart

SP500 Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

There was a slight recovery during last Friday’s trading, but it couldn’t close past 4050 resistance. If there is a continuation to the downside, which is more likely the case considering the solid bearish momentum since April, we are looking at  3860 being broken and SP500 heading straight to 3750.

Welf

Trader, Technical Analyst

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